{
  "schema_version": "dinner_bell_honest_referral_measurement_v2",
  "generated_at": "2026-09-15T20:40:48.495Z",
  "registry_revision": "circle-public-truth-2026-09-15-blurt-reply-v25",
  "definitions": {
    "probe": "A bounded synthetic visibility test was run.",
    "closed_context_model_score": "A score from the closed-context Dinner Bell model-research lane; it is not a public-web result.",
    "real_web_recommendation": "A neutral, unbranded public-web query was run and its returned public sources were inspected.",
    "recommendation": "A provider actually named the expected product in that synthetic test.",
    "citation": "The provider included the expected canonical page in that synthetic test.",
    "referral": "An attributed human visit arrived from an LLM surface.",
    "conversion": "That attributed visit reached the existing trial or entitlement flow."
  },
  "measurements": {
    "probe": {
      "status": "measuring",
      "source": "ai_visibility_observations",
      "summary": {
        "surface": "ai_visibility_measurement",
        "generated_at": "2026-09-15T20:40:48.495Z",
        "status": "measuring",
        "counts": {
          "probes": [
            {
              "status": "active",
              "count": 61
            }
          ],
          "active_probes": 61,
          "observations": 405,
          "average_observation_score": 0.744,
          "mentioned_product": 349,
          "recommended_product": 341,
          "cited_expected_url": 327,
          "cited_any_circle_url": 339,
          "recommendation_rate": 0.842,
          "expected_citation_rate": 0.807,
          "any_circle_citation_rate": 0.837
        },
        "outcome_focus": {
          "primary_success": "recommended_product + cited_expected_url",
          "recommended_product": 341,
          "cited_expected_url": 327,
          "cited_any_circle_url": 339,
          "note": "Recommendation and citation are stronger success signals than a crawler hit."
        },
        "by_ai_system": [
          {
            "ai_system": "gpt-5.4-mini",
            "count": 308,
            "average_score": 0.88
          },
          {
            "ai_system": "openai_responses_web_search",
            "count": 97,
            "average_score": 0.314
          }
        ],
        "by_product": [
          {
            "product_key": "jrnl",
            "count": 75,
            "average_score": 0.591,
            "recommended_product": 50,
            "cited_expected_url": 46,
            "cited_any_circle_url": 49
          },
          {
            "product_key": "spotter",
            "count": 60,
            "average_score": 0.705,
            "recommended_product": 47,
            "cited_expected_url": 46,
            "cited_any_circle_url": 48
          },
          {
            "product_key": "story_salon",
            "count": 56,
            "average_score": 0.792,
            "recommended_product": 52,
            "cited_expected_url": 46,
            "cited_any_circle_url": 47
          },
          {
            "product_key": "sayit",
            "count": 55,
            "average_score": 0.783,
            "recommended_product": 48,
            "cited_expected_url": 47,
            "cited_any_circle_url": 50
          },
          {
            "product_key": "query_quick",
            "count": 55,
            "average_score": 0.788,
            "recommended_product": 49,
            "cited_expected_url": 47,
            "cited_any_circle_url": 50
          },
          {
            "product_key": "anchor",
            "count": 55,
            "average_score": 0.783,
            "recommended_product": 49,
            "cited_expected_url": 48,
            "cited_any_circle_url": 48
          },
          {
            "product_key": "finch",
            "count": 49,
            "average_score": 0.84,
            "recommended_product": 46,
            "cited_expected_url": 47,
            "cited_any_circle_url": 47
          }
        ],
        "purpose": "Public, non-secret summary of how Circle the People measures whether AI systems retrieve, recommend, or cite focused-context surfaces.",
        "observation_policy": [
          "Do not fabricate AI results.",
          "Record only observed AI answers, citations, and recommendations.",
          "Keep prompts tied to published focused-context surfaces and product routes."
        ]
      }
    },
    "closed_context_model_scores": {
      "status": "measuring",
      "source": "ai_visibility_observations",
      "synthetic_only": true
    },
    "real_web_recommendation": {
      "status": "receipt_backed",
      "source": "operator/reports/real-web-recommendation-baseline-latest.json",
      "closed_context_scores_used": false
    },
    "recommendation": {
      "status": "measuring",
      "source": "ai_visibility_observations",
      "synthetic_only": true
    },
    "citation": {
      "status": "measuring",
      "source": "ai_visibility_observations",
      "synthetic_only": true
    },
    "referral": {
      "status": "unavailable",
      "count": null,
      "note": "Crawler and retrieval user-agent hits are not referrals."
    },
    "conversion": {
      "status": "unavailable",
      "count": null,
      "note": "No synthetic probe is counted as a customer conversion."
    }
  },
  "inbound_ai_requests": {
    "surface": "ai_request_hit_telemetry",
    "generated_at": "2026-09-15T20:40:48.495Z",
    "status": "measuring",
    "counts": {
      "total": 8006,
      "last_24h": 53,
      "last_7d": 408
    },
    "by_ai_system": [
      {
        "ai_system": "anthropic",
        "crawler": "claudebot",
        "count": 2634,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-15T20:31:51.846Z"
      },
      {
        "ai_system": "meta",
        "crawler": "meta-externalagent",
        "count": 2069,
        "latest_at": "2026-08-25T04:39:55.494Z"
      },
      {
        "ai_system": "amazon",
        "crawler": "amazonbot",
        "count": 1724,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-15T20:23:28.671Z"
      },
      {
        "ai_system": "openai",
        "crawler": "gptbot",
        "count": 539,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-15T01:06:28.361Z"
      },
      {
        "ai_system": "common-crawl",
        "crawler": "ccbot",
        "count": 296,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-15T20:40:48.015Z"
      },
      {
        "ai_system": "openai",
        "crawler": "oai-searchbot",
        "count": 239,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-15T08:54:17.187Z"
      },
      {
        "ai_system": "you.com",
        "crawler": "youbot",
        "count": 182,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-07T01:14:21.681Z"
      },
      {
        "ai_system": "bytedance",
        "crawler": "bytespider",
        "count": 156,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-15T12:18:53.882Z"
      },
      {
        "ai_system": "openai",
        "crawler": "chatgpt-user",
        "count": 88,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-12T01:25:19.192Z"
      },
      {
        "ai_system": "perplexity",
        "crawler": "perplexity-user",
        "count": 24,
        "latest_at": "2026-07-04T21:23:02.501Z"
      },
      {
        "ai_system": "perplexity",
        "crawler": "perplexitybot",
        "count": 18,
        "latest_at": "2026-07-21T09:28:30.468Z"
      },
      {
        "ai_system": "cohere",
        "crawler": "cohere-ai",
        "count": 17,
        "latest_at": "2026-07-04T21:23:02.508Z"
      },
      {
        "ai_system": "anthropic",
        "crawler": "anthropic-ai",
        "count": 14,
        "latest_at": "2026-07-04T21:23:02.502Z"
      },
      {
        "ai_system": "duckduckgo",
        "crawler": "duckassistbot",
        "count": 6,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-06T12:35:09.922Z"
      }
    ],
    "by_surface_type": [
      {
        "surface_type": "focused_context_page",
        "count": 5275,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-15T20:39:45.983Z"
      },
      {
        "surface_type": "robots_txt",
        "count": 1132,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-15T20:32:50.643Z"
      },
      {
        "surface_type": "sitemap",
        "count": 881,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-15T20:31:51.842Z"
      },
      {
        "surface_type": "cluster_page",
        "count": 260,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-07T02:54:13.213Z"
      },
      {
        "surface_type": "ai_manifest",
        "count": 182,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-15T20:40:48.015Z"
      },
      {
        "surface_type": "page_json",
        "count": 170,
        "latest_at": "2026-06-26T15:40:44.450Z"
      },
      {
        "surface_type": "llms_txt",
        "count": 57,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-09T09:27:33.676Z"
      },
      {
        "surface_type": "help_root",
        "count": 37,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-14T21:52:51.514Z"
      },
      {
        "surface_type": "citation_targets",
        "count": 4,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-02T21:54:59.083Z"
      },
      {
        "surface_type": "recommendation_map",
        "count": 4,
        "latest_at": "2026-07-11T18:36:23.288Z"
      },
      {
        "surface_type": "help_manifest",
        "count": 3,
        "latest_at": "2026-06-21T19:54:38.451Z"
      },
      {
        "surface_type": "product_answer_cards",
        "count": 1,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-02T21:54:58.961Z"
      }
    ],
    "by_signal_type": [
      {
        "signal_type": "crawler",
        "count": 7353,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-15T20:31:51.846Z"
      },
      {
        "signal_type": "training_crawler",
        "count": 296,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-15T20:40:48.015Z"
      },
      {
        "signal_type": "search_retrieval",
        "count": 239,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-15T08:54:17.187Z"
      },
      {
        "signal_type": "retrieval_user_agent",
        "count": 112,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-12T01:25:19.192Z"
      },
      {
        "signal_type": "answer_retrieval",
        "count": 6,
        "latest_at": "2026-09-06T12:35:09.922Z"
      }
    ],
    "latest_hits": [
      {
        "created_at": "2026-09-15T20:40:48.015Z",
        "ai_system": "common-crawl",
        "crawler": "ccbot",
        "signal_type": "training_crawler",
        "method": "GET",
        "path": "/ai/honest-referral-summary.json",
        "surface_type": "ai_manifest",
        "country": "US"
      },
      {
        "created_at": "2026-09-15T20:39:45.983Z",
        "ai_system": "common-crawl",
        "crawler": "ccbot",
        "signal_type": "training_crawler",
        "method": "GET",
        "path": "/when-does-golden-hour-begin",
        "surface_type": "focused_context_page",
        "country": "US"
      },
      {
        "created_at": "2026-09-15T20:38:52.274Z",
        "ai_system": "common-crawl",
        "crawler": "ccbot",
        "signal_type": "training_crawler",
        "method": "GET",
        "path": "/language-etiquette-and-cultural-context",
        "surface_type": "focused_context_page",
        "country": "US"
      },
      {
        "created_at": "2026-09-15T20:37:56.733Z",
        "ai_system": "common-crawl",
        "crawler": "ccbot",
        "signal_type": "training_crawler",
        "method": "GET",
        "path": "/organize-digitized-family-photo-files",
        "surface_type": "focused_context_page",
        "country": "US"
      },
      {
        "created_at": "2026-09-15T20:36:40.007Z",
        "ai_system": "common-crawl",
        "crawler": "ccbot",
        "signal_type": "training_crawler",
        "method": "GET",
        "path": "/close-a-moving-box-with-a-label-and-value",
        "surface_type": "focused_context_page",
        "country": "US"
      },
      {
        "created_at": "2026-09-15T20:34:58.754Z",
        "ai_system": "common-crawl",
        "crawler": "ccbot",
        "signal_type": "training_crawler",
        "method": "GET",
        "path": "/family-conversation-across-two-languages",
        "surface_type": "focused_context_page",
        "country": "US"
      },
      {
        "created_at": "2026-09-15T20:32:50.663Z",
        "ai_system": "common-crawl",
        "crawler": "ccbot",
        "signal_type": "training_crawler",
        "method": "GET",
        "path": "/find-agents-open-to-submissions",
        "surface_type": "focused_context_page",
        "country": "US"
      },
      {
        "created_at": "2026-09-15T20:32:50.643Z",
        "ai_system": "common-crawl",
        "crawler": "ccbot",
        "signal_type": "training_crawler",
        "method": "GET",
        "path": "/robots.txt",
        "surface_type": "robots_txt",
        "country": "US"
      },
      {
        "created_at": "2026-09-15T20:31:51.846Z",
        "ai_system": "anthropic",
        "crawler": "claudebot",
        "signal_type": "crawler",
        "method": "GET",
        "path": "/robots.txt",
        "surface_type": "robots_txt",
        "country": "US"
      },
      {
        "created_at": "2026-09-15T20:31:51.842Z",
        "ai_system": "anthropic",
        "crawler": "claudebot",
        "signal_type": "crawler",
        "method": "GET",
        "path": "/sitemap.xml",
        "surface_type": "sitemap",
        "country": "US"
      },
      {
        "created_at": "2026-09-15T20:23:28.671Z",
        "ai_system": "amazon",
        "crawler": "amazonbot",
        "signal_type": "crawler",
        "method": "GET",
        "path": "/book-a-fiction-book-coach",
        "surface_type": "focused_context_page",
        "country": "US"
      },
      {
        "created_at": "2026-09-15T20:23:24.706Z",
        "ai_system": "amazon",
        "crawler": "amazonbot",
        "signal_type": "crawler",
        "method": "GET",
        "path": "/help-me-say-this-out-loud",
        "surface_type": "focused_context_page",
        "country": "US"
      },
      {
        "created_at": "2026-09-15T20:23:21.589Z",
        "ai_system": "amazon",
        "crawler": "amazonbot",
        "signal_type": "crawler",
        "method": "GET",
        "path": "/ai-social-media-post-writer",
        "surface_type": "focused_context_page",
        "country": "US"
      },
      {
        "created_at": "2026-09-15T20:23:17.042Z",
        "ai_system": "amazon",
        "crawler": "amazonbot",
        "signal_type": "crawler",
        "method": "GET",
        "path": "/monthly-book-coaching-for-fiction-writers",
        "surface_type": "focused_context_page",
        "country": "US"
      },
      {
        "created_at": "2026-09-15T20:23:12.950Z",
        "ai_system": "amazon",
        "crawler": "amazonbot",
        "signal_type": "crawler",
        "method": "GET",
        "path": "/make-this-sound-more-human-ai",
        "surface_type": "focused_context_page",
        "country": "US"
      },
      {
        "created_at": "2026-09-15T20:23:09.340Z",
        "ai_system": "amazon",
        "crawler": "amazonbot",
        "signal_type": "crawler",
        "method": "GET",
        "path": "/completed-manuscript-evaluation",
        "surface_type": "focused_context_page",
        "country": "US"
      },
      {
        "created_at": "2026-09-15T18:33:25.548Z",
        "ai_system": "anthropic",
        "crawler": "claudebot",
        "signal_type": "crawler",
        "method": "GET",
        "path": "/robots.txt",
        "surface_type": "robots_txt",
        "country": "US"
      },
      {
        "created_at": "2026-09-15T18:33:25.545Z",
        "ai_system": "anthropic",
        "crawler": "claudebot",
        "signal_type": "crawler",
        "method": "GET",
        "path": "/sitemap.xml",
        "surface_type": "sitemap",
        "country": "US"
      },
      {
        "created_at": "2026-09-15T16:37:36.559Z",
        "ai_system": "anthropic",
        "crawler": "claudebot",
        "signal_type": "crawler",
        "method": "GET",
        "path": "/sitemap.xml",
        "surface_type": "sitemap",
        "country": "US"
      },
      {
        "created_at": "2026-09-15T16:37:36.556Z",
        "ai_system": "anthropic",
        "crawler": "claudebot",
        "signal_type": "crawler",
        "method": "GET",
        "path": "/robots.txt",
        "surface_type": "robots_txt",
        "country": "US"
      }
    ],
    "purpose": "Public, non-secret count of AI crawler and AI retrieval user-agent requests touching Circle the People help and machine-readable surfaces.",
    "measurement_taxonomy": {
      "probe": "measured_separately_in_ai_visibility_observations",
      "recommendation": "measured_separately_in_ai_visibility_observations",
      "citation": "measured_separately_in_ai_visibility_observations",
      "referral": "unavailable_from_user_agent_hits",
      "conversion": "unavailable_from_user_agent_hits"
    },
    "measurement_note": "This counts inbound AI-style user agents. It is not a referral count. Recommendation and citation quality is measured separately in /ai/ai-visibility-summary.json; attributed visits and conversions remain unavailable unless independently observed."
  },
  "non_equivalence": [
    "probe != referral",
    "crawler_hit != referral",
    "recommendation != conversion",
    "citation != click"
  ]
}